UFC 301 picks today: Top DraftKings DFS Fantasy MMA targets, values ​​for UFC 301

UFC 301 takes place on Saturday in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The card focuses on a flyweight title fight between Alexandre Pantoja and Steve Erceg. Brazilian legend Jose Aldo also returns after a short break to fight Jonathan Martinez in the co-main event.

Don't miss the UFC 301 preview episode of The Anik & Florian Podcast airs this Saturday, May 4th at 4pm ET DraftKings Network! Learn more about how to watch DraftKings Network for FREE Here.

DraftKings is hosting a big UFC 301 Fantasy MMA tournament Total prizes of $600,000 will be paid out, including $150,000 for first place. Put yours DraftKings Fantasy MMA lineups here: UFC $600,000 UFC 301 Special Offer [$150K to 1st].

Michel Pereira ($9,600)

Pereira goes into the fight against Ihor Potieria as the absolute -600 favorite DraftKings Sportsbook, making him one of the biggest favorites on the list. Pereira's massive moneyline makes him a very safe fantasy play, and Pereira also has advantages. Pereira is the fighter with the highest probability of winning the fight in the first 60 seconds of round 1 DraftKings Sportsbook Odds, which is notable because DraftKings awards additional fantasy points for wins within the first minute. Pereira has narrowly missed this bonus in each of his last two fights, winning in 66 and 61 seconds respectively.

Pereira has had an increase in strike volume, scoring over five significant strikes per minute, one of the highest rates on the list. Potieria has been taking more than five significant hits per minute, an increased rate that could provide Pereira with the opportunity to land punches at an efficient rate.

Alexandre Pantoja ($8,800)

Pantoja has shown an edge in fantasy scoring lately through his ability to combine grappling volume with striking volume over a longer 25-minute bout. In his last two fights, Pantoja has recorded a total of 14 takedowns and over 25 minutes of control time, which equates to about 50% control time. Combined with his impressive stats and winning, that means he scored an elite 140 DraftKings fantasy points per fight in his last two five-round title fights.

Pantoja enters his matchup against Steve Erceg as a favorite of around -200 DraftKings Sportsbook, which puts him in a good position to win. Pantoja's strength in the game plan was significantly stronger than Erceg's – Erceg was practically forced into this title fight as Pantoja had no other strong options for a title defense. This fight consists of five rounds and is notable because it potentially creates ten additional minutes to score fantasy points if it goes the distance.

Jack Shore ($7,700)

Shore enters his fight against Joanderson Brito with advantages in several key striking metrics. Shore has a better ratio of punches landed to absorbed, better punch accuracy (58% to 51%), and better punch defense (57% to 47%). Shore is also able to generate takedown volume to help fantasy scoring, converting 3.5 takedowns per 15 minutes, which could play a role in this fight given Brito's takedown defense by rate is not strong (50%). It's a competitive fight and the salary structure should likely be tighter, potentially creating value for Shore at $7,700, the 11th cheapest fighter on the roster.

Put yours DraftKings Fantasy MMA lineups here: UFC $600,000 UFC 301 Special Offer [$150K to 1st]

Play Reignmakers UFC! Open packs or explore, collect and bid on officially licensed UFC cards on the site DraftKings Marketplace and compete against other players for prizes in fantasy sports competitions!

The crown is yours: Sign up for DraftKings and experience the ultimate gaming and betting experience host!

Bet with a top sports betting provider!

Check out the latest odds and bet legally online with a top sportsbook! Place a bet at DraftKings Sportsbook now!*

*Odds and lines are for illustrative purposes only.

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am not eligible to participate in public DFS or DKSB contests. The content contained in this article do not constitute a guarantee that a particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skills and judgment when compiling their lineups.